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A sleeper is a player that exceeds their original Average Draft Position (ADP).

1. Jahan Dotson – ADP 104 WR 41= The number one sleeper on the list. He is very undervalued after a solid rookie campaign. He missed 5 games due to a minor injury, but he was on track for Offensive Rookie of the Year. He scored 4 touchdowns in his first 4 games and put up very similar stats to the “WR1” Terry McLaurin. Dotson can easily take over the number role this season and easily land in the top 20 WRs. There is an unproven quarterback, but Sam Howell was regarded as a first-round pick at one point. He was a dual threat in college and can heave the ball down the field. Even with moderate QB play Dotson will excel.
2. Tyler Lockett – ADP 67 WR 27= Lockett is getting lost in a deep receiving core for Seattle, that is the word on the street anyway. D.K. Metcalf is the WR1 on paper and they drafted a flashy rookie in Jaxon-Smith Njigba who is going to fill the third receiver position or better. Lockett is not getting the attention that he deserves. He has had four consecutive 1,000-yard seasons and he’s coming off a very good year. Geno Smith proved to be a capable quarterback and Njigba and Metcalf are going to take the defensive pressure of Lockett. Low-ceiling, high-floor.
3. Kyle Pitts – ADP 72 TE 7= Pitts could just as easily land on the Bust list as he finished as a bust last year. The ceiling is just too high to ignore him falling this far. It is a risk but there are good sleeper TEs later in the draft that can back up Pitts on your fantasy team. Hopefully, the run-first offense with a solid running back core will leave Pitts with room to operate.
4. Mac Jones – ADP 212 QB 28= It is absolutely insane that Mac Jones is rated at the bottom of the quarterback ranks. Two years ago, he came in second for Offensive Rookie of the Year and went to the pro bowl in his first year. Last year was a blip on the radar. He missed a few games with an ankle injury, that he came back early from, and was coached by two men that had no business in the offensive coordinator role. Look for a huge rebound with a new and proven offensive coordinator. At worst, he is a solid QB 2, at best he is in the top ten.
5. Treylon Burks – ADP 105 WR 42= Barring a trade, Burks will be the number one receiver for the Titans. Ryan Tannehill is back and was building rapport with Burks last year before injuries to Tannehill and Burks derailed their seasons. He showed flashes of what he could do last year and if he can stay healthy, he will finish well above his ADP.
6. Zach Charbonnet – ADP 115 RB 40= Charbonnet landed in an unusual spot with Seahawks. They already have a starting running back that they drafted last year. Clearly, management does not have absolute faith in Kenneth Walker to carry out the duties. Charbonnet will start as the receiving back and perhaps the goal line carries. He has the ability to also steal carries from Walker. He offers a far better value at his ADP than Walker does at his.
7. Dalton Kincaid – ADP 122 TE 16= Kincaid is highly likely to play primarily out of the slot role. The fact that he is listed as a tight end and will see more targets than the average receiver will give him a very high ceiling. If he puts up slot receiver stats while also being a red zone threat, he can very easily finish in the top 10 TEs.
8. Anthony Richardson – ADP 123 QB 18= Richardson is being projected all over the board for his ADP. Some even have him in the top-10 QBs, while others have him as a low-end QB2. Being a rookie, there is a lot of speculation on how he will adjust to the NFL after limited playing time in college. He will be a threat with his rushing ability, but that is not a concern. His ability to throw the football in the NFL is in question. He is capable of being a quality value and worth a dart throw later in the draft.
9. David Montgomery – ADP 73 RB 29= Montgomery is being slept on in a lot of projections and rankings. Everyone is looking at the rookie Gibbs to be the main back, but that is unlikely to be the case. The Lions will probably use Montgomery and Gibbs the same way they used Jamaal Williams and D’Andre Swift last season. Gibbs will be a threat all over the field, but Montgomery will also get carries and goal-line work. Their overall fantasy stats will be similar to each other, but Montgomery offers better value in later rounds.
10. Jaylen Warren – ADP 135 RB 49= Warren played last year with a chip on his shoulder after being undrafted. He responded by having an electrifying rookie season until injuries derailed him. While he was playing, he was averaging 25% higher yard per carry average and yard per reception than the starter Najee Harris. If Harris can not increase his usage on touches, then Warren can eat into his carries and perhaps overtake the starting role.